Making money on the MLB Playoffs

Playoff baseball is finally upon us. The great fall classic provides unparalleled entertainment for even the casual fan year in and year out. It's not just entertainment that is consistently delivered, but lines that can be easily taken advantage of. The reason for this can be described by one word, ITENSITY. Any MLB analyst or sports enthusiast can and will tell you that the MLB playoffs are defined by their intensity. Here lies the edge that any bettor has been waiting for. The books must show their hand too early and it must be taken advantage of. Over/Under lines will plummet and money lines will close the gap.

For example, to take Verlander this year you had to take about -200 on average. In game 1 the line on Verlander will be in the viscidity of -130 to a slight underdog based off past years analysis. To truly take advantage of these line movements you must know what stats and trends to deem important. So the question remains, how do I determine what stats and trends are important?

Answer: INTENSITY

It's often been said that intensity is something that can't be measured, but by wagering based off a couple stats and trends in particular over the last decade I know intensity certainly is measurable. For starters, career postseason batting average is not necessarily a good indicator for the potential outcome of a team or specific player. It's stats like this that are too subjective to jump on any given side of a matchup. What we're looking for is stats that will give us a look into what a certain player will most likely do when facing extreme amounts of pressure. Excuse me as we must take a look into the meticulous operation of sabermetrics, but this is where I have found fool proof ways of making lots of money over the last decade on the great fall classic.

LIPS is the first stat that should be looked at which will give an indication for what players are poised to have a big post-season. LIPS measures "late inning pressure situation" by taking at bats in the 7th inning or later in which their team is down three runs or less. This is a great indicator of what a given player is more susceptible to do once the playoffs begin as every at bat becomes a pressure at bat.

Once you get those stats under your belt it's time to take a look at RISP w/2outs. This stat is batting average with runners in scoring position with 2 outs. During a long regular season these are the type of at bats that a playoff type of intensity may be felt and will often show how a team and/or player will perform in a playoff atmosphere.

On the pitching side of the equation the hands down most important stat is BAA w/ Risp. This stat is batting average against with runners in scoring position. A pitcher with a low BAA w/risp over a course of the year typically always fairs well in the post-season. You also will have to look at walks as a pitcher may not throw to contact and walk his way into a lot of trouble, but if the BAA w/risp is low and walks is low it almost always indicates a great playoff appearance. 

These are only 3 of the indicators that we use at Buffalo Sports Publishing for the MLB Playoffs, but I hope you take advantage of the information and enjoy the Great Fall Classic. You can find us at bspdaily.com where you can subscribe for a free week trial and will receive all our sports information completely free.