winning a bet - horse racing

Question
hello. what all should i consider to win a bet in thoroughbred horse racing? can you explain me in detail?

Answer
Hi Rohit:

Thanks for your question - I will make a good effort at answering your question with a simple answer to a very difficult question.  

There are very many different methods of handicapping, the first 3 cover the majority of handicappers - # 1 "Speed Handicappers, # 2 "Class Handicappers" and # 3 "Trip Handicappers".  

Speed Handicapping
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I am a speed handicapper, which means that I look at the races simply by comparing the speed of the horses utilizing speed splits from the opening of the starting gate, thru the 1/4 mile pole (two furlongs), the 1/2 mile pole (four furlongs), the 3/4 mile pole (six furlongs) and the 1 mile pole (eight furlongs) thru and including the finish of the race.  The average 1/4 mile is run in 24 seconds, the 1/2 mile in 48 seconds, the 3/4 mile in 1 minute 12 seconds, and 1 mile in 1 minute 36 seconds.  A race with less than 24 seconds in the first 1/4 mile is considered a fast early pace, allowing for stalkers or off-the-pace runners to come from behind; likewise a race with the first 1/4 mile in more than 24 seconds is considered a slow early pace and the early speed horses can go gate to wire.

Trying not to over-simplify it, there are two kinds of races, (1) sprint races ?anything up to a mile and (2) route races ?anything a mile and over.  And then there are two parts to every race, (1) the speed of the race to the second call point and (2) the speed of the race from the second call point to the finish.  The speed of the race to the second call point is sometimes called the 揺arly speed?  搕he pole speed? or whatever else they call it, and it always sets up the speed of the entire race.   If the early part of the race is ran at a very fast pace, the early speed horses won抰 have anything left in the stretch and a late speed horse will come off the pace at the finish pole to take the purse.   If the early part of the race is ran at a much slower pace, the early speed horses do not tire as easily and could have enough energy left to finish in first.  When there are two or more horses battling for the lead in a sprint race, most of the time they will wear themselves out with a fast pace and a late speed horse will come from a few lengths off the pace to win.  This happens all the time in Turf races (races ran on the grass).   In route races, a good rider will hold back his mount a little off the pace to conserve energy for the stretch run (sometimes called 搑ating the horse? and then take the lead in the stretch to finish first.

In handicapping a race, the first thing I do is look at the conditions of the race to be run and the distance of the race.

I then try to determine whether I think the race will have speed horses to set the pace or whether a closer will be able to win.  After I have decided whether I think it will be a fast or slow pace, I then compare the horses and the various call points to come up with the ultimate finishers in the race.

For resolving ties in speed, I also look at purse information to determine which horses have been running in higher class races and the current form of the horse, ability of the horse, and how many days since they last raced.

Class Handicapping
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Class handicappers look at mainly the class of the horses in each race.

Trip Handiapping
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Trip handicappers look at the comments of each race and determine which past races allow their choice to win.

Once you have decided which particular style of handicapping you want to use, you have solved the hardest part of your question.

I hope this helps with your question and if you feel that I have helped answer your question, please leave me a favorable rating.